Cognitive Bias Guessing Game

10 of these cognitive biases are on Wikipedia and 10 I made up.
I chose Wikipedia because it makes the game harder, but I also copied their definitions. So take this with a grain of salt.

  • Framing effect –
    Drawing different conclusions from the same information, depending on how that information is presented.
  • Difficulty Bias –
    The tendency for people to believe that their challenges are disproportionally difficult.
  • IKEA effect –
    The tendency for people to place a disproportionately high value on objects that they partially assembled themselves, such as furniture from IKEA, regardless of the quality of the end product.
  • Hindsight bias –
    The tendency to see past events as being predictable at the time those events happened.
  • Manuel-Lenin Effect –
    The tendency to remain attached to political, or ideological movements through gradual changes to said movement’s goals, leading to activists remaining attached to a movement whose goals are counter to their own.
  • Freidrich-Muller Effect –
    The tendency of people to only pay notice when a breakthrough is achieved discounting prior steps and assuming a single achievement.
  • Surrogation –
    Losing sight of the strategic construct that a measure is intended to represent, and subsequently acting as though the measure is the construct of interest.
  • Weber–Fechner law –
    Difficulty in comparing small differences in large quantities.
  • The Supermarket Effect –
    Preference of people for larger discounts on cheap purchases over small discounts on more substantial purchases.
  • Courtesy bias –
    The tendency to give an opinion that is more socially correct than one’s true opinion, so as to avoid offending anyone.
  • The Liar Liar Bias –
    The tendency to, when attempting to deceive others, not recognize other’s attempts at deceptions.
  • Merrian-Pratchet Bias –
    The tendency to assume that the more unlikely something is believed to be the higher the likelihood of it actually happening.
  • Less-is-better effect –
    The tendency to prefer a smaller set to a larger set judged separately, but not jointly.
  • Lemonade Bias –
    The phenomenon where people attempt to make the best of an unfortunate result without considering the success of other attempts.
  • Mere exposure effect –
    The tendency to express undue liking for things merely because of familiarity with them.
  • Lemming Effect –
    The tendency to participate in self-destructive behavior out of social pressure.
  • Man-Made Bias –
    The tendency to assume that human intervention necessarily has negative side effects.
  • I-knew-That effect –
    The tendency to identify all new learnings with existing ideas.
  • Look-elsewhere effect –
    An apparently statistically significant observation may have actually arisen by chance because of the size of the parameter space to be searched.
  • Weber–Fechner law –
    Difficulty in comparing small differences in large quantities.

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